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Oogwai Intelligence · Mumbai

The lakes are full.
The gap is still there

On 31 July 2026 Mumbai's seven water-supply lakes held 88.6% of usable capacity — the joint-fullest reading in ten years. That is genuinely good news, and it does not close the city's daily shortfall. Storage and supply are two different problems.

Reading date 31 July 2026 · Page updated 14 August 2026

88.6%
Lakes on 31 July 2026
73.5%
Nine-year average
4,460–4,665MLD
Estimated daily demand
500–700MLD
Current daily deficit
Topic
Mumbai water supply — reservoir storage and the supply-versus-demand gap
Location
Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Storage on 31 July 2026
88.6% of usable capacity across seven lakes — joint-highest in the 2017–2026 record
Nine-year average
73.5% (2017–2025, measured on 31 July)
Leanest years
2020 at 34.5%, and 2018 at 49.8%
Current supply
3,950–4,100 MLD against estimated demand of 4,460–4,665 MLD
Current deficit
Roughly 500–700 MLD per day
Projected deficit
Up to about 2,400 MLD by 2031–2041 if planned augmentation does not land
Unit
MLD = million litres per day
Publisher
Oogwai (Oogwai Analytics Ltd) · info@oogw.ai

Part one · Storage

Ten years of monsoon,
read on the same day.

Comparing reservoirs across years only works if you read them on the same date — storage climbs through the monsoon, so a July number and a September number are not the same measurement. Every reading below is taken on 31 July.

Lake level, % of usable capacity Nine-year average (73.5%)
Each vessel is one year's reading on 31 July. 2018 and 2020 are shown in a muted fill as the two years that finished July below half full.
Mumbai lake levels on 31 July, 2017–2026
YearLevelBand
201789.6%Very high
201849.8%Lean
201982.5%High
202034.5%Lean
202175.0%High
202288.7%Very high
202375.5%High
202477.2%High
202588.7%Very high
202688.6%Very high

Part two · The gap

Supply rose for a decade.
So did demand.

A full reservoir is a stock. What the city actually delivers each day is a flow — and that flow has never caught up with demand. Over roughly ten years supply gained about 500 MLD, demand gained a similar amount, and the daily shortfall barely moved.

Actual supply Supply range Estimated demand Demand range
Solid fill runs to the low end of each reported range; the hatched cap shows the rest of the range. Million litres per day.
Supply, demand and deficit — MLD per day
PeriodActual supplyEstimated demandDaily deficit
~10 years ago2014 – 20163,400–3,7504,200450 – 800
Current2024 – 20263,950–4,1004,460–4,665500 – 700
Projected2031 – 20415,300–6,9006,424–6,900up to 2,400 (if unmitigated)

How to read it

Three things the charts
are actually saying.

A good monsoon is not a solved problem

2026 is among the fullest years on record, yet the city still runs a daily shortfall of roughly 500–700 MLD. Storage buys time; it does not add delivery capacity.

The lean years are the real test

2020 finished July at 34.5% and 2018 at 49.8%. Planning that assumes an 88% year is planning for the best case twice a decade, not the normal one.

The gap widens before it closes

Demand is projected at 6,424–6,900 MLD by the 2030s. The supply figures for that period are targets attached to projects, not capacity that exists today.

One number to treat with care. The often-quoted "days of supply" figure is derived from the storage percentage, not measured independently. At 88.6% it works out to roughly 320 days at current draw — useful as a rough sense of runway, not as an operational forecast.

Method & caveats

Where these numbers
come from.

Same-date readings

Every storage figure is the combined useful storage of Mumbai's seven water-supply lakes on 31 July of that year, as a percentage of total usable capacity. Same date, same lakes, every year.

Ranges, not point estimates

Supply and demand are reported as ranges because published figures vary by source and by month. The charts show the full reported range rather than picking a single convenient number.

Projections are targets

The 2031–2041 supply band reflects targeted capacity tied to planned augmentation projects. It is an intention, not committed capacity, and the ~2,400 MLD deficit assumes those projects do not land.

Figures are compiled from published reservoir and civic water-supply reporting. Where sources disagree, the wider range is shown. Corrections are welcome at info@oogw.ai.